Thursday, January 20, 2011

[EQ] Improving Global Health: Forecasting the Next 50 Years

PATTERNS OF POTENTIAL HUMAN PROGRESS

Improving Global Health: Forecasting the Next 50 Years - Volume 3 – 2011

The Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver’s Josef Korbel School of International Studies is the home of the International Futures (IFs) computer simulation modeling project.

Website: http://bit.ly/eAtOHd

 

“……Improving Global Health is the third in a series of volumes—Patterns of Potential Human Progress—that uses the International Futures (IFs) simulation model to explore prospects for human development. The PPHP series is jointly published by the Pardee Center, Paradigm Publishers, and Oxford University Press India.   The current volume sets out to tell a story of possible futures for the health of peoples across the world.

 

Questions explored by Improving Global Health include:

·         What health outcomes might we expect given current patterns of human development?

·         What opportunities exist for intervention and the achievement of alternate health futures?

·         How might improved health futures affect broader economic, social, and political prospects of countries, regions, and the world?

 The IFs system of models and its applications are continually evolving. Even so, its foundation continues to rest on two defining characteristics:

1. it is long-range (its forecasting horizon extends to the year 2100), and

2. it encompasses multiple domains of human and social systems for 183 countries (e.g., population, the economy, health, education, energy, agriculture, and aspects of sociopolitical systems) and the interaction effects among them.


Tables in each PPHP volume display dynamic forecasts in all of these domains for major world regions and 183 countries over the next 50 years. 

 

PATTERNS OF POTENTIAL HUMAN PROGRESS

Improving Global Health: Forecasting the Next 50 Years

VOL UME 3

 

Content

File Type

Size

PPHP 3: Full Volume

PDF

3,726 kb

Preface and Table of Contents

PDF

142 kb

Chapter 1-Introduction

PDF

181 kb

Chapter 2-Understanding Health

PDF

296 kb

Chapter 3-Forecasting Global Health

PDF

371 kb

Chapter 4-The Current Path as it Seems to be Unfolding

PDF

295 kb

Chapter 5-Analysis of Selected Proximate Risk Factors

PDF

300 kb

Chapter 6-Analysis of Selected Environmental Risk Factors

PDF

375 kb

Chapter 7-Forward Linkages

PDF

319 kb

Chapter 8-Broadening and Integrating our Perspective

PDF

300 kb

Chapter 9-The Future of Global Education

PDF

127 kb

Appendices

PDF

58 kb

Bibliography

PDF

193 kb

Forecast Tables Introduction and Glossary

PDF

92 kb

Maps

PDF

216 kb

Forecast Tables Overview

PDF

55 kb

Forecast Tables

PDF

1,403 kb

Index

PDF

102 kb

Author Notes

PDF

154 kb



 

Barry B. Hughes, John Evans Professor

Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures

Josef Korbel School of International Studies - University of Denver, Denver, Colorado USA

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